Tradex Foods

Tradex Foods Premium Quality Frozen Seafood Supplier, and Creator of the 3-Minute Market-Insight.

10/07/2026

[Shorts] - Global Wild Salmon Harvest Could Hit 100-Year Low as Japan’s Catch Falls

--- Japan remains the key fall fishery to monitor. Hokkaido’s preseason return forecast of 3.65 million chum is approximately 47% below 2025, while commercial harvest through September 26 reached only about 4,000 MT, down 37% from 2025 and approximately 65% from 2024 at the same point. Fishing continues through the fall, leaving additional chum and roe production possible.
Current global wild salmon harvest can be estimated around 300,000 MT with Alaska, Russia and Japan accounting for nearly all reported production to date. This is less than half of 2025’s 745,000 MT harvest and could end up being the lowest harvest in 100 years. While additional late-season production will increase the final total, 2026 is shaping up to be an exceptionally low-production year for global wild salmon.

Full EP: https://www.tradexfoods.com/3mmi/2026/10-05-wild-pacific-salmon-q4-outlook-supply-tightens

10/06/2026

[Shorts] - GLOBAL WILD SALMON: Russia’s Salmon Harvest Hits Just 43% of Forecast as Supply Shortfall Persists

---Russia has harvested approximately 98,000 MT through September 28, just 43% of its 229,000 MT preseason forecast—the lowest harvest-to-forecast level in at least 15 years. Pink production is effectively finished and chum now accounts for virtually all remaining growth. Production includes roughly 41,600 MT pink, 34,100 MT chum, 18,800 MT sockeye and 3,600 MT coho.

Remaining North American fisheries are unlikely to materially change the broader supply picture. Alaska will have localized coho opportunities into October, while British Columbia provides some additional Canadian-origin salmon; however, these late fisheries will provide only incremental relief to the broader North Pacific shortfall.

Full EP: https://www.tradexfoods.com/3mmi/2026/10-05-wild-pacific-salmon-q4-outlook-supply-tightens

10/05/2026

[Shorts] - Alaska Salmon Harvest Reaches Just 70% of Forecast as Wild Pacific Salmon Enters Q4

Wild Pacific Salmon enters Q4 with Alaska’s season essentially established, Russia substantially behind forecast, and Japan’s fall chum fishery still developing. Our recommendation is that buyers closely review remaining requirements as attention shifts from new harvests to available inventory and replacement costs.

Alaska has harvested approximately 87.6 million salmon, about 70% of its 125.5 million-fish preseason forecast and approximately 55% below the full 2025 season and 15% below 2024, potentially marking its lowest harvest relative to preseason forecast since 2016. Production includes roughly 37.7 million sockeye, 37.2 million pink and 11 million chum, with meaningful statewide production now essentially complete.

Full EP: https://www.tradexfoods.com/3mmi/2026/10-05-wild-pacific-salmon-q4-outlook-supply-tightens

10/05/2026

EP813 • October 5, 2026 • 3min watch
WILD SALMON: Q4 SHIFTS FROM HARVEST TO INVENTORY
Wild Pacific salmon enters Q4 with Alaska’s season essentially complete, Russia substantially behind forecast, and Japan’s fall chum fishery still developing. Alaska has harvested approximately 87.6 million salmon, about 70% of its preseason forecast, while Russia has harvested only 98,000 MT—just 43% of forecast and its lowest harvest-to-forecast level in at least 15 years.
Japan also remains one of the key fisheries to watch, with Hokkaido’s fall chum return forecast approximately 47% below 2025 and early commercial production trailing recent seasons. Current global wild salmon production is estimated around 300,000 MT, with additional late-season production still to come. As the major harvest windows close, buyer attention is increasingly shifting toward available inventory, replacement costs and accessible supply.
Find out why buyers should closely review remaining pink salmon, canned-salmon, chum and roe requirements as the market enters Q4. Watch to find out more.

FULL REPORT: https://www.tradexfoods.com/3mmi/2026/10-05-wild-pacific-salmon-q4-outlook-supply-tightens

10/02/2026

[Shorts] - Europe Seafood Market: Autumn Buying Risks & Value Opportunities
--- Looking ahead, our recommendation is to secure forward coverage for wild cod, tuna, mackerel, sardines, and premium squid, where supply remains tight and pricing risk is skewed upward. Take advantage of current value in Spanish shrimp, pangasius, Illex squid, cuttlefish, and clams, while monitoring rising feed costs and potential Peruvian anchovy constraints that could lift prices for farmed salmon, trout, seabass, and seabream.

Full EP: https://www.tradexfoods.com/3mmi/2026/09-28-european-seafood-market-update-tight-wild-supply-meets-selective-buying-opportunities

10/01/2026

[Shorts] - Tight Mackerel & Tuna Markets: Q4 Seafood Buyer Update
--- Pelagic markets remain tight, with mackerel and sardine prices elevated by limited supply and Norwegian mackerel and herring trading at historically high values; buyers should secure needs rather than depend on spot-market relief.

Tuna is also firming into Q4, as Bangkok skipjack rose USD 200 per tonne toward USD 2,000 per tonne and yellowfin remains tight amid solid global demand, supporting early coverage for both yellowfin and Atlantic-linked skipjack.

Cephalopods offer a relative buying opportunity, with ample Illex and Humboldt squid supply, weaker processor demand, and softer cuttlefish prices, while premium Loligo remains tight. Mauritanian octopus has fallen from early-2026 highs but remains influenced by cautious buying and Asian inventory overhang.

Full EP: https://www.tradexfoods.com/3mmi/2026/09-28-european-seafood-market-update-tight-wild-supply-meets-selective-buying-opportunities

09/29/2026

[Shorts] - European Seafood Update: Salmon Supply, Shrimp Value & Firm Flatfish
--- Premium flatfish should also remain firm as French wild-fish supply is constrained, including monkfish availability roughly 12% below last year.

Salmon availability is more comfortable, with Norwegian July exports reaching a record 147,891 tonnes, up 10% year-on-year, although fresh whole export prices rose 8% as strong demand, particularly from China, absorbed the additional supply.

Shrimp markets are mixed: high inventories and slow buying in Spain are creating better negotiating conditions, while lower French import costs have not yet softened wholesale pricing and Italian summer prices have edged higher.

Pangasius remains a clear value alternative as weak European foodservice demand and heavy competition continue to pressure prices.

Full EP: https://www.tradexfoods.com/3mmi/2026/09-28-european-seafood-market-update-tight-wild-supply-meets-selective-buying-opportunities

09/28/2026

[Shorts] - Europe’s Seafood Squeeze: Secure Cod Early, Keep Value on the Menu
European seafood markets enter September broadly firm but controlled, with wild-supply constraints, seasonal foodservice demand, and higher aquaculture input costs maintaining pressure across key categories - our recommendation to buyers is to secure coverage in supply-constrained categories early, while using value-oriented alternatives to manage cost exposure.

Norwegian fresh wild-cod exports fell 47% year-on-year in July and salted-cod exports continue to decline with lower quotas, making early coverage essential and farmed cod the most practical substitute where specifications allow.

Full EP: https://www.tradexfoods.com/3mmi/2026/09-28-european-seafood-market-update-tight-wild-supply-meets-selective-buying-opportunities

09/28/2026

EP812 • September 28, 2026 • 3min watch
EUROPE SEAFOOD: SECURE TIGHT SUPPLY, TARGET VALUE
European seafood markets remain broadly firm, with tighter wild supply supporting prices across several key categories. Norwegian fresh wild-cod exports fell 47% year over year in July, while mackerel and sardine availability remains limited.
Tuna is also firming into Q4. Bangkok skipjack prices have risen USD 200 per tonne toward USD 2,000 per tonne, and yellowfin supply remains tight. Salmon availability is more comfortable, but strong demand continues to support pricing.
Buying opportunities remain selective. High shrimp inventories in Spain are improving negotiating conditions, while pangasius, Illex squid and cuttlefish offer value. Premium Loligo remains tight and requires a different purchasing approach.
Find out where to secure forward coverage, where to negotiate, and how rising aquaculture input costs could affect replacement prices in the months ahead. Watch to find out more.

FULL REPORT: https://www.tradexfoods.com/3mmi/2026/09-28-european-seafood-market-update-tight-wild-supply-meets-selective-buying-opportunities

09/24/2026

[Shorts] - China Seafood Market Split: Wait on Atlantic Cod and Haddock, Secure Tight-Supply Species

Overall, the China processing market is split between demand-driven weakness in Atlantic cod and haddock and supply-driven strength in Pacific cod, po***ck, Pacific halibut, pink salmon, and chum salmon.

Our recommendation is to remain patient on Atlantic cod and haddock while protecting near-term requirements for Pacific cod, po***ck, pink salmon, and chum salmon, where tight raw material availability continues to support elevated replacement costs.

Full EP: https://www.tradexfoods.com/3mmi/2026/09-21-china-seafood-update-softer-cod-firm-po***ck-and-high-salmon-prices

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