04/17/2026
π KANSAS: THE MACHINE PICKS KYLE LARSON π
After 0-8, we're picking the obvious specialist.
THE LARSON FACTOR:
- Back-to-back Kansas spring wins (2024, 2025)
- 2025: Led 221/267 laps, swept all 3 stages
- 2024: Won by 0.001 seconds (closest NASCAR finish ever)
- 3 career Kansas wins
THE PICK:
Kyle Larson #5 - 8.74%
But Denny Hamlin is 8.71% (0.03% behind).
Essentially a coin flip.
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WHY LARSON:
When someone dominates a track like this, you respect it.
This isn't picking favorites.
This is recognizing specialists.
Larson owns Kansas.
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THE RISK:
We're 0-8.
Every time we pick someone, they lose.
But at some point, the obvious pick has to be right.
8.74% is our tightest prediction yet.
v3.0 model: flattened field, chaos variance, specialist recognition.
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SEASON RECORD:
Machine: 0-8 (seeking first win)
Mikey: 2.5-8
Jill: 1-0 (called Ty Gibbs at Bristol, perfect)
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Sunday, April 19 | 2PM ET | FOX
Machine: Larson (specialist)
Mikey: TBD
Jill: TBD (will she go 2-0?)
Who wins Kansas? π